Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.883917e-03 0.002078 0.002273 0.002482 0.002700 0.002921 0.003160
2025-02-02 1.617104e-03 0.001901 0.002194 0.002517 0.002861 0.003216 0.003608
2025-02-09 1.479000e-03 0.001840 0.002222 0.002651 0.003117 0.003605 0.004150
2025-02-16 1.294877e-03 0.001712 0.002164 0.002683 0.003257 0.003865 0.004554
2025-02-23 1.073764e-03 0.001524 0.002027 0.002617 0.003280 0.003993 0.004809
2025-03-02 8.871101e-04 0.001359 0.001903 0.002555 0.003300 0.004111 0.005050
2025-03-09 7.317156e-04 0.001218 0.001795 0.002502 0.003323 0.004228 0.005284
2025-03-16 6.126893e-04 0.001110 0.001718 0.002479 0.003375 0.004371 0.005545
2025-03-23 5.589825e-04 0.001080 0.001733 0.002561 0.003544 0.004647 0.005951
2025-03-30 4.833188e-04 0.001014 0.001697 0.002578 0.003636 0.004831 0.006254
2025-04-06 4.321551e-04 0.000976 0.001694 0.002632 0.003769 0.005061 0.006606
2025-04-13 4.036885e-04 0.000968 0.001727 0.002729 0.003951 0.005347 0.007021
2025-04-20 3.204321e-04 0.000884 0.001677 0.002747 0.004071 0.005595 0.007437
2025-04-27 2.428031e-04 0.000798 0.001619 0.002754 0.004178 0.005833 0.007845
2025-05-04 2.073708e-04 0.000777 0.001649 0.002874 0.004424 0.006237 0.008449
2025-05-11 1.512561e-04 0.000707 0.001604 0.002893 0.004547 0.006496 0.008888
2025-05-18 8.639466e-05 0.000595 0.001489 0.002815 0.004544 0.006604 0.009149
2025-05-25 4.114362e-05 0.000498 0.001385 0.002745 0.004547 0.006716 0.009414
2025-06-01 1.359141e-05 0.000416 0.001294 0.002686 0.004561 0.006838 0.009688
2025-06-08 1.713064e-06 0.000354 0.001230 0.002659 0.004613 0.007004 0.010012
2025-06-15 1.046596e-08 0.000338 0.001242 0.002742 0.004806 0.007341 0.010539
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000300 0.001210 0.002758 0.004911 0.007570 0.010936
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000278 0.001206 0.002813 0.005065 0.007859 0.011404